Our patient here in Nordrhein-Westfalen wasn't anywhere near Wuhan or a known (assumed) infected patient. So where did he get the infection from? Possibly from mail received from china. Given the fact, that the virus can survive on dead surfaces for just about 9 days, that's even more improbable, since A: mail from China to Germany takes longer and B: our main parcel service (DHL) doesn't deliver parcels from China anymore. So he probably got it from another person. Since there is now other known case of Covit-19 around before him, it's likely he got it from someone without symptoms.
We'll now see how it spreads. The man is in serious condition, intubated in the university hospital of Düsseldorf. He had symptoms for ten days before going to hospital with a then already very bad pneumonia. His wife is having milder symptoms and was isolated and now testes positive, too. She works in a kindergarten in her home disctrict. We'll see how that ends up.
But what a actually mean is, you can get it anywhere. Given the high number of airway infections we had this winter, I assume, Covit-19 is already here and quite a lot of people are/were infected, but have mistaken it for a severe cold. And since almost no GP performs a throat swab or blood test before a patient shows more severe symptoms it could probably spread largely unnoticed.
That fits the assumption of a big dark digit of mild cases. So - call me naive - I'm not really that unsettled right now.
The post was edited 1 time, last by TheOssi ().